Tag Archives: Arab Spring

Islamists on Track to Win Egyptian Election

I predicted earlier this year that the Arab Spring would likely result in further Islamic radicalization of the Arab world. According to The New York Times, the “mainstream” Muslim Brotherhood has captured about forty percent of the Egyptian vote, based … Continue reading

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , , , , | 14 Comments

Friedman Blames Israelis For Consequences of Arab Spring

Thomas Friedman appears to be attempting to distance himself from the disastrous consequences of all the columns on the Arab world he wrote over the past few years. These op-eds predicted the “wonders” of democracy would miraculously bring hope and rationality to the Middle … Continue reading

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Middle East, Peak Oil, Policy, Terrorism, War | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 15 Comments

Arab Spring Fallout: Egyptian Mob Overruns Israeli Embassy

In February, I predicted that Egypt’s democratic revolution would lead to a rise in regional instability, particularly between Egypt and Israel. Late last month, I argued that Egypt’s transition to democracy was entering an extremely unstable phase, after thousands of protestors … Continue reading

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Middle East, Policy, Politics, War | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

Game Theory for Middle Eastern Dictators

Towards a Dominant Strategy In “Saudis Shrug Off Day of Rage: Three Strategies to Suppress a Revolt Before It Starts“, I argued that there are two archetypal models for a dictator to deal with popular revolts in the Middle East: crush them or … Continue reading

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Mathematics, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Predictions, War | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 9 Comments