Tag Archives: Israel

Will Israel Attack Iran This Spring?

Posted on Thursday, February 2, 2012 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta indicated today that Israel is considering a strike on Iran’s nuclear program as early as this spring. A Washington Post reporter asserted Panetta believed “there is a strong likelihood that Israel will strike Iran in … Continue reading →

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, Middle East, Nuclear proliferation, Peak Oil, Policy, Politics, War | Tagged International Security Policy, Iran, Israel, Leon Panetta, Nuclear proliferation, Oil, Strait of Hormuz | 17 Comments

Are Airstrikes Imminent in Iran?

Posted on Tuesday, January 17, 2012 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

According to Stratfor, a routine rotation of American aircraft carriers could place three carrier strike groups in the vicinity of the Persian Gulf; a fourth carrier strike group in Japan is within a week’s sailing distance. This suspicious-looking placement of … Continue reading →

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Middle East, Nuclear Power, Nuclear proliferation, Policy, Politics, War | Tagged Aircraft carriers, Iran, Israel, Nuclear weapons, Strait of Hormuz | 15 Comments

Top 10 Predictions for 2011: Results

Posted on Friday, December 30, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

At the beginning of 2011, my first blog post covered my top 10 predictions for 2011. Since I like to hold myself accountable for things I wrote in the past, now is the time I assess how I (and my readers) did. … Continue reading →

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Posted in China, Energy Security, Finance and Economics, Predictions | Tagged China, Hezbollah, Hillary Clinton, India, Iran, Israel, Nigeria, Oil, President Obama, S&P500, South Korea, Sudan, Winter Olympics | 7 Comments

War with Iran?

Posted on Sunday, November 6, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

Yesterday, New York Times columnist David Sanger published an intriguing piece on “America’s Deadly Dynamics With Iran.” For those who have been following this blog from the beginning, many of you may remember I did my Master’s thesis on Plan … Continue reading →

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Middle East, Nuclear Power, Nuclear proliferation, Peak Oil, Policy, Politics, Predictions, Terrorism, War | Tagged Iran, Iran's nuclear program, Iranian Assassination Plot, Israel, Nuclear proliferation, Plan B for Persia, Stuxnet, Stuxnet 2.0, War with Iran | 15 Comments

Arab Spring Fallout: Egyptian Mob Overruns Israeli Embassy

Posted on Monday, September 12, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

In February, I predicted that Egypt’s democratic revolution would lead to a rise in regional instability, particularly between Egypt and Israel. Late last month, I argued that Egypt’s transition to democracy was entering an extremely unstable phase, after thousands of protestors … Continue reading →

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Middle East, Policy, Politics, War | Tagged Arab Spring, Cairo, Egypt, Egyptian military, Israel, Israeli Embassy attack | 2 Comments

Strife in the Sinai: Is Egypt’s and Israel’s Peace at an End?

Posted on Saturday, August 20, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

“The Egyptians do not accept what has happened, and it means that Israel should take care. If they continue their behavior toward the Palestinians and the peace process, it means that the situation will escalate more.” — Mohamed Bassiouni, a … Continue reading →

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Media, Middle East, Peak Oil, Policy, Politics, War | Tagged Egypt, Gaza, Hamas, Hosni Mubarak, Israel, The New York Times | 11 Comments

Game Theory for Middle Eastern Dictators

Posted on Monday, August 15, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

Towards a Dominant Strategy In “Saudis Shrug Off Day of Rage: Three Strategies to Suppress a Revolt Before It Starts“, I argued that there are two archetypal models for a dictator to deal with popular revolts in the Middle East: crush them or … Continue reading →

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Mathematics, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Predictions, War | Tagged Arab Spring, Egypt, Energy security, Hamas, Hezbollah, Hosni Mubarak, Iraq, Israel, Muammar Qaddafi, Oil, Policy, Politics, President Bashar al-Assad, President Obama, Saudi Arabia, Zine al-Abidine Ben Ali | 9 Comments

Obama’s Call for Israel to Base Negotiations on Pre-1967 Borders (Part III): A Political Assessment

Posted on Friday, May 27, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

In my post earlier this week, I concluded returning to Israel’s pre-1967 borders would make the country difficult to defend against Arab aggression, even with its vastly superior military. Even with a patchwork of land swaps, it would still be a challenge for Israel to defend. Leaving … Continue reading →

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Media, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Terrorism, War | Tagged 9/11, Desert warfare, Egypt, Israel, Israelis, Jews, Jordan, Lebanon, OPFOR, Palestine, Palestinians, Palestinians dancing in the streets, Soviet Motorized Rifle Regiment, Syria, West Bank | Leave a comment

Obama’s Call for Israel to Base Negotiations on Pre-1967 Borders (Part II): A Military Assessment

Posted on Tuesday, May 24, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

In yesterday’s post, I indicated my desire to reflect upon President Obama’s proposal rather than fall prey to my deeply visceral initial reaction. In this post, I decided to tackle what I know best first: the situation’s military dynamics. From a military perspective, the … Continue reading →

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Obama’s Call for Israel to Base Negotiations on Pre-1967 Borders (Part I)

Posted on Monday, May 23, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

I have delayed responding to Obama’s speech last week, which called for Israel to revert back to its pre-1967 borders as a precondition for talks. Being the Rational Republican, I wanted to take some time to reflect on the situation rather than fall prey … Continue reading →