Tag Archives: Israel

Will Israel Attack Iran This Spring?

U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta indicated today that Israel is considering a strike on Iran’s nuclear program as early as this spring. A Washington Post reporter asserted Panetta believed “there is a strong likelihood that Israel will strike Iran in … Continue reading

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, Middle East, Nuclear proliferation, Peak Oil, Policy, Politics, War | Tagged , , , , , , | 17 Comments

Are Airstrikes Imminent in Iran?

According to Stratfor, a routine rotation of American aircraft carriers could place three carrier strike groups in the vicinity of the Persian Gulf; a fourth carrier strike group in Japan is within a week’s sailing distance. This suspicious-looking placement of … Continue reading

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Middle East, Nuclear Power, Nuclear proliferation, Policy, Politics, War | Tagged , , , , | 13 Comments

Top 10 Predictions for 2011: Results

At the beginning of 2011, my first blog post covered my top 10 predictions for 2011. Since I like to hold myself accountable for things I wrote in the past, now is the time I assess how I (and my readers) did. … Continue reading

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Posted in China, Energy Security, Finance and Economics, Predictions | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 7 Comments

War with Iran?

Yesterday, New York Times columnist David Sanger published an intriguing piece on “America’s Deadly Dynamics With Iran.” For those who have been following this blog from the beginning, many of you may remember I did my Master’s thesis on Plan … Continue reading

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Middle East, Nuclear Power, Nuclear proliferation, Peak Oil, Policy, Politics, Predictions, Terrorism, War | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 15 Comments

Arab Spring Fallout: Egyptian Mob Overruns Israeli Embassy

In February, I predicted that Egypt’s democratic revolution would lead to a rise in regional instability, particularly between Egypt and Israel. Late last month, I argued that Egypt’s transition to democracy was entering an extremely unstable phase, after thousands of protestors … Continue reading

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Middle East, Policy, Politics, War | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

Strife in the Sinai: Is Egypt’s and Israel’s Peace at an End?

“The Egyptians do not accept what has happened, and it means that Israel should take care. If they continue their behavior toward the Palestinians and the peace process, it means that the situation will escalate more.” — Mohamed Bassiouni, a … Continue reading

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Media, Middle East, Peak Oil, Policy, Politics, War | Tagged , , , , , | 11 Comments

Game Theory for Middle Eastern Dictators

Towards a Dominant Strategy In “Saudis Shrug Off Day of Rage: Three Strategies to Suppress a Revolt Before It Starts“, I argued that there are two archetypal models for a dictator to deal with popular revolts in the Middle East: crush them or … Continue reading

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Mathematics, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Predictions, War | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 9 Comments

Obama’s Call for Israel to Base Negotiations on Pre-1967 Borders (Part III): A Political Assessment

In my post earlier this week, I concluded returning to Israel’s pre-1967 borders would make the country difficult to defend against Arab aggression, even with its vastly superior military. Even with a patchwork of land swaps, it would still be a challenge for Israel to defend. Leaving … Continue reading

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Media, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Terrorism, War | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Obama’s Call for Israel to Base Negotiations on Pre-1967 Borders (Part II): A Military Assessment

In yesterday’s post, I indicated my desire to reflect upon President Obama’s proposal rather than fall prey to my deeply visceral initial reaction. In this post, I decided to tackle what I know best first: the situation’s military dynamics. From a military perspective, the … Continue reading

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Media, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Terrorism, War | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 17 Comments

Obama’s Call for Israel to Base Negotiations on Pre-1967 Borders (Part I)

I have delayed responding to Obama’s speech last week, which called for Israel to revert back to its pre-1967 borders as a precondition for talks. Being the Rational Republican, I wanted to take some time to reflect on the situation rather than fall prey … Continue reading

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Posted in Energy Security, International Security, Media, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Terrorism, War | Tagged , , , , , | 11 Comments