Category Archives: Predictions

Syrian Crackdown Accelerates

Over the past several months, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has wavered between trying to appease protestors and cracking down on them. Neither tactic has been particularly effective. Today, it seems the current President has finally reverted to the tactics his father employed … Continue reading

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Predictions, Terrorism, War | Tagged , , , , | 7 Comments

S&P Lowers United States Debt Outlook to Negative

Today,  Standard & Poor’s lowered its rating outlook for United States debt from stable to negative on the heels of the American government’s persistent dysfunction to reduce the deficit. The market’s reaction has been slightly negative to this news, even though … Continue reading

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Posted in Business, Finance and Economics, International Security, Investing, Policy, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , | 19 Comments

Obama Debt Reduction Speech Rife with Class Warfare and Partisanship, But Good Start

To be frank, the first part of President Obama’s speech today at George Washington University was difficult for me to stomach. While the President gave a cursory nod to Ronald Reagan by acknowledging that America was a country of rugged individualists, he offered … Continue reading

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Posted in Business, Defense, Education, Finance and Economics, Healthcare, International Security, Policy, Politics, Predictions, Social Security | Tagged , | 10 Comments

Obama’s Debt Reduction Plan

On Wednesday, President Obama will present his debt reduction plan to a university audience. According to The New York Times, the President will urge Republican lawmakers to join him in finding ways “to raise revenues and reduce the growth of popular … Continue reading

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Posted in Business, Finance and Economics, Policy, Politics, Predictions, Social Security | Tagged , , , | 10 Comments

My Plan to Balance the Budget

To be honest, I am writing this blog to take advantage of a nifty little application The New York Times published a few months ago that actually makes the task of balancing the budget fun (No, really, I’m serious). I … Continue reading

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Posted in Business, Defense, Education, Energy Security, Finance and Economics, Healthcare, International Security, Policy, Politics, Predictions, Social Security, War | Tagged , , | 9 Comments

Attacking Libya Serves Iran’s Security Interests

What Qaddafi has done to his people is morally reprehensible, but why is it any different than events in Sudan, Zimbabwe, Côte d’Ivoire, or Bahrain? More importantly, how does intervention in the conflict meet vital American interests? On the contrary, … Continue reading

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, Finance and Economics, International Security, Middle East, Nuclear proliferation, Policy, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

Another Sign That Attacking Libya Has Harmed America’s Nuclear Non-Proliferation Efforts

Right on queue, the North Koreans are proclaiming that the West’s disarmament agreement with Libya was “an invasion tactic to disarm the country.” I’m not surprised. All of this was, of course, forseeable. For American vital interests, the threat of nuclear proliferation … Continue reading

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Posted in Defense, Middle East, Nuclear Power, Policy, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , | 2 Comments

Saudis Shrug Off Day of Rage: Three Strategies to Suppress a Revolt Before It Starts

While the world was understandably distracted by Japan’s terrible earthquake and the tsunami in its wake, I have been monitoring one local Saudi woman’s blog to get a sense of how the March 11th Day of Rage progressed in Saudi … Continue reading

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Posted in Clean Energy, Clean Tech, Energy Security, Finance and Economics, International Security, Investing, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , | 4 Comments

Debunking Peak Phosphorus

U.S. Rock Phosphate Production vs. Price, Source: Adapted from USGS data The media’s fascination with the prospect of peak oil has spread to another commodity — phosphorus. In Julian Cribb’s 2010 book, The Coming Famine: The Global Food Crisis and … Continue reading

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Posted in Clean Energy, Clean Tech, Climate Change, Energy Security, Finance and Economics, Food Security, International Security, Media, Policy, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , , | 31 Comments

Felling Pharaohs (Part VI): The Beatings Continue Because Morale Has Not Improved

A little over a month ago in the midst of Egyptian unrest, I warned that U.S. policy-makers should “be very afraid” of these developments because of their impact on crude oil prices. Now that Libya is in flames, its oil … Continue reading

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Posted in Clean Energy, Defense, Energy Security, Finance and Economics, International Security, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments