Tag Archives: Oil

Saudis Shrug Off Day of Rage: Three Strategies to Suppress a Revolt Before It Starts

While the world was understandably distracted by Japan’s terrible earthquake and the tsunami in its wake, I have been monitoring one local Saudi woman’s blog to get a sense of how the March 11th Day of Rage progressed in Saudi … Continue reading

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Posted in Clean Energy, Clean Tech, Energy Security, Finance and Economics, International Security, Investing, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , | 4 Comments

Felling Pharaohs (Part VI): The Beatings Continue Because Morale Has Not Improved

A little over a month ago in the midst of Egyptian unrest, I warned that U.S. policy-makers should “be very afraid” of these developments because of their impact on crude oil prices. Now that Libya is in flames, its oil … Continue reading

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Posted in Clean Energy, Defense, Energy Security, Finance and Economics, International Security, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

The Next Real Estate Bubble? Food Price Inflation Strikes in the Midwest

Today, The New York Times published an article on a potential real estate bubble in the Midwest.  This seems to be yet another effect that high oil prices are having on the economy. As I have frequently argued in previous posts, persistenty high … Continue reading

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Posted in Business, Climate Change, Food Security, Predictions | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Petroleum Prices and Peak Oil: Edging Towards a New Normal

“The beatings will continue until morale improves.” — Unknown Today I filled up my fuel-efficient Toyota with 11.24 gallons of fuel at $3.80 a gallon. And it’s only February. I shudder to imagine what prices will be by the time … Continue reading

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Posted in Business, Clean Energy, Energy Security, Finance and Economics, International Security, Investing, Policy, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , , | 10 Comments

Architecture of Anarchy

“Civilization and anarchy are only seven meals apart” — Spanish proverb Instability is a positive feedback loop driven by weather, energy and food prices, currency fluctuations, repression, and demography. Adverse weather conditions, in tandem with high energy prices and a … Continue reading

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Posted in Business, Clean Energy, Climate Change, Defense, Energy Security, Finance and Economics, Food Security, International Security, Investing, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , , , , , , | 7 Comments

The Great Famine of 2011: Food, Fossil Fuels, and Fragmentation

“Our people take pride in the fact that they are blessed with great leaders from generation to generation” — High-level North Korean official on Kim Jong Un succession Poor Weather Reduces Crop Yields; Reduced Crop Yields Lead to Increased Prices… … Continue reading

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Posted in Business, China, Clean Energy, Climate Change, Defense, Energy Security, Finance and Economics, International Security, Investing, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

Storms Scare Saudis

Earlier this month, I warned that the Egyptian revolution would have broader implications far beyond Egypt’s borders. I said the most dangerous consequence of this revolt would be the spread of this revolution to other Arab countries like Saudi Arabia, … Continue reading

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, Finance and Economics, International Security, Investing, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Iran: Another Domino Teeters; America Should Shove It Over the Edge

On the heels of my recent article on food prices and Middle Eastern stability, events in Iran are coming to a head. Riot police today physically beat protestors in major Iranian cities. The New York Times estimates that 20,000-30,000 demonstrators took … Continue reading

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , , , , | 1 Comment

Weimar Arabism Slouching Towards Islamo-Fascism

Today the Egyptian people are dancing in the streets. Tomorrow they may be drowning in blood. Hoping for a smooth transition is just that — hope. And hope is not a method. Every Middle Eastern country that has tried to … Continue reading

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Felling Pharaohs: Be Afraid, Be Very Afraid (Part V)

Parts I through IV of this series show that the Egyptian crisis will have both regional and global consequences for the future of the Arab world and the global energy crisis. Given these stakes, what is America to do? America’s Vital … Continue reading

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Policy, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment