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Monthly Archives: February 2011
Iran: Another Domino Teeters; America Should Shove It Over the Edge
On the heels of my recent article on food prices and Middle Eastern stability, events in Iran are coming to a head. Riot police today physically beat protestors in major Iranian cities. The New York Times estimates that 20,000-30,000 demonstrators took … Continue reading
Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Predictions
Tagged Egypt, Energy security, Iran, Iraq, Oil, Unemployment
1 Comment
Food Fight: Instability May Beget Instability
In prior articles, I mentioned that one reason Egypt’s revolution happened now rather than in 2003 may have been due to a rapid increase in the price of food. Last week’s edition of The Economist cited a Goldman Sachs report … Continue reading
Posted in China, Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Predictions
Tagged China, Egypt, Energy security, Politics, Saudi Arabia
1 Comment
Channeling Luxor: Stable Egyptian Transition Not So Simple
On November 17, 1997, jihadists massacred a group of Swiss, British, and Japanese tourists enjoying the majestic sights of ancient Egyptian marvels at Luxor. The terrorists savagely butchered 58 tourists and 4 Egyptians with gunfire and knives. They mutilated many … Continue reading
Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Middle East, Policy, Politics
Tagged Egypt, Energy security, Hezbollah, Iran, Politics
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Weimar Arabism Slouching Towards Islamo-Fascism
Today the Egyptian people are dancing in the streets. Tomorrow they may be drowning in blood. Hoping for a smooth transition is just that — hope. And hope is not a method. Every Middle Eastern country that has tried to … Continue reading
Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Predictions
Tagged Adolf Hitler, Egypt, Energy security, Israel, Oil, Politics, Weimar Republic
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New Deal = No Deal: Framing Energy Policy Matters
Michael Kanellos at greentechmedia published an article today arguing that the President’s comparison to Sputnik with America’s dependence on fossil fuels is an imperfect one. He later suggests that the New Deal better fits the clean energy narrative. I think … Continue reading
Middle Eastern Instability and the Youth Bulge
The Economist published an interesting map this week that hints at one of the potential sources of Middle Eastern instability — the demographic imbalances in most Middle Eastern countries. As is evident on the map, over half the population in … Continue reading
Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Predictions
Tagged Demographics, Energy security, Middle East, Politics, Unemployment
2 Comments
Of Smart Grids and Cyber Warfare
Richard Clarke posted an interesting article today on the potential of cyber warfare to be the next major domain of war, much as sea power was in the 19th century, and air power, in the 20th. The evolution of this … Continue reading
Felling Pharaohs: Be Afraid, Be Very Afraid (Part V)
Parts I through IV of this series show that the Egyptian crisis will have both regional and global consequences for the future of the Arab world and the global energy crisis. Given these stakes, what is America to do? America’s Vital … Continue reading
Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Policy, Politics, Predictions
Tagged Egypt, Energy security, Hamas, Hezbollah, Iraq, Israel, Oil, Policy, Politics, President Obama, Saudi Arabia
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Happy Birthday, President Reagan
“There is one sign the Soviets can make that would be unmistakable, that would advance dramatically the cause of freedom and peace. General Secretary Gorbachev, if you seek peace, if you seek prosperity for the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe, … Continue reading
Felling Pharaohs: Be Afraid, Be Very Afraid (Part IV)
While the last three parts of this series focused on issues ranging from the immediate impact on Egypt to the far reaching potential for unrest to spread to key American energy suppliers, it has ignored the crisis’ implications for Israel. … Continue reading
Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Politics, Predictions
Tagged Camp David Accords, Egypt, Energy security, Hezbollah, Iran, Israel, Natural gas, President Jimmy Carter
2 Comments
