Category Archives: Predictions

Middle Eastern Instability and the Youth Bulge

Posted on Tuesday, February 8, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

The Economist published an interesting map this week that hints at one of the potential sources of Middle Eastern instability — the demographic imbalances in most Middle Eastern countries. As is evident on the map, over half the population in … Continue reading →

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

Of Smart Grids and Cyber Warfare

Posted on Monday, February 7, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

Richard Clarke posted an interesting article today on the potential of cyber warfare to be the next major domain of war, much as sea power was in the 19th century, and air power, in the 20th. The evolution of this … Continue reading →

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Posted in Business, Clean Energy, Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Policy, Predictions, Smart grid | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Felling Pharaohs: Be Afraid, Be Very Afraid (Part V)

Posted on Monday, February 7, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

Parts I through IV of this series show that the Egyptian crisis will have both regional and global consequences for the future of the Arab world and the global energy crisis. Given these stakes, what is America to do? America’s Vital … Continue reading →

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Felling Pharaohs: Be Afraid, Be Very Afraid (Part IV)

Posted on Sunday, February 6, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

While the last three parts of this series focused on issues ranging from the immediate impact on Egypt to the far reaching potential for unrest to spread to key American energy suppliers, it has ignored the crisis’ implications for Israel. … Continue reading →

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Felling Pharaohs: Be Afraid, Be Very Afraid (Part III)

Posted on Saturday, February 5, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

Blame Bush In its recent edition, The Economist credits former President George W. Bush for encouraging Arab democracy. I think he deserves blame. Given the volatility inherent in radical Sunni Islam, it is not in America’s interest to encourage a … Continue reading →

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Posted in Business, China, Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Felling Pharaohs: Be Afraid, Be Very Afraid (Part II)

Posted on Friday, February 4, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

Shortly after the ignominious French 1954 defeat at Dien Bien Phu in Vietnam, President Eisenhower introduced the concept of Domino Theory to describe the significance of Vietnam falling under Communist influence. He warned that one Communist victory could initiate a … Continue reading →

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Posted in Business, China, Defense, Energy Security, Finance and Economics, International Security, Investing, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Felling Pharaohs: Be Afraid, Be Very Afraid (Part I)

Posted on Thursday, February 3, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

Arab Discontent Abounds… Since unrest began in Tunisia in early 2011, news outlets have reported unrest or threats of unrest in eight Arab nations including Algeria, Egypt, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Syria, Tunisia, and Yemen, comprising a combined population of over … Continue reading →

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Posted in Business, China, Defense, Energy Security, Finance and Economics, International Security, Investing, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

46th Carnival of Divided Government is Up!

Posted on Thursday, February 3, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

Divided We Stand United We Fall is hosting the 46th Carnival of Divided Government and features my blog post on “Think You Can Make Money Investing When Your Party is in Power? Guess Again” on making investment decisions based on which … Continue reading →

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Predictions 2011: How Are They Currently Trending?

Posted on Friday, January 21, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

On January 1, I made some predictions about different events in 2011. I thought it would be interesting to track how some of these predictions are currently trending to measure both my and my readers’ accuracy. I have only commented … Continue reading →

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Posted in China, Finance and Economics, International Security, Investing, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Top 10 Predictions for 2011

Posted on Saturday, January 1, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

To welcome the new year, I thought it might be interesting and fun to make some predictions about different events in 2011. Finance and Economics 1. Buoyed by healthier signs of a recovery, the S&P500 ends the year up 15% … Continue reading →

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Posted in China, Energy Security, Finance and Economics, Predictions | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 10 Comments