Category Archives: Predictions

Top 10 Predictions for 2011: Results

Posted on Friday, December 30, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

At the beginning of 2011, my first blog post covered my top 10 predictions for 2011. Since I like to hold myself accountable for things I wrote in the past, now is the time I assess how I (and my readers) did. … Continue reading →

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Posted in China, Energy Security, Finance and Economics, Predictions | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 7 Comments

12 Technology Predictions for 2112: Throwing Down the Gauntlet

Posted on Thursday, December 29, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

In a previous comment thread, Professor Scott Erb suggested it would be interesting to hear people’s predictions about future technologies they believe will be available by 2112. So, I am throwing down the gauntlet now. If you have a blog, … Continue reading →

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Posted in Mathematics, Predictions, Science, Technology | Tagged , , , , | 4 Comments

Predictions from 1900?

Posted on Thursday, December 29, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

As we are about to enter 2012, I thought I would post some interesting predictions supposedly written in 1900. I discovered this list on PBS.org which purports to be predictions from The Ladies Home Journal written in 1900. To be frank, … Continue reading →

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Posted in General, Predictions, Science, Technology | Tagged , , , | 15 Comments

Gender Genie Identifies Sex Based on Writing Style

Posted on Thursday, December 22, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

Today I discovered a fascinating tool called the Gender Genie thanks to Clarissa over at Clarissa’s Blog. The tool purports to be able to predict one’s gender based on a sample of one’s writing. I decided to test the tool on … Continue reading →

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Posted in Blogging, Humor, Predictions, Writing | Tagged , | 9 Comments

Islamists on Track to Win Egyptian Election

Posted on Wednesday, November 30, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

I predicted earlier this year that the Arab Spring would likely result in further Islamic radicalization of the Arab world. According to The New York Times, the “mainstream” Muslim Brotherhood has captured about forty percent of the Egyptian vote, based … Continue reading →

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , , , , | 14 Comments

War with Iran?

Posted on Sunday, November 6, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

Yesterday, New York Times columnist David Sanger published an intriguing piece on “America’s Deadly Dynamics With Iran.” For those who have been following this blog from the beginning, many of you may remember I did my Master’s thesis on Plan … Continue reading →

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Middle East, Nuclear Power, Nuclear proliferation, Peak Oil, Policy, Politics, Predictions, Terrorism, War | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 15 Comments

How Will Occupy Wall Street End?

Posted on Thursday, October 27, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

Commentators have engaged in a great deal of speculation about how they believe the Occupy Wall Street movement will evolve over time. Will it end violently like it did in Oakland? Will it become an enduring movement that forever changes … Continue reading →

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Posted in California, Finance and Economics, Media, Policy, Politics, Predictions, Socialism, Taxes | Tagged , , , , , | 17 Comments

Chance of Obama Election Victory Less Than Even

Posted on Wednesday, October 5, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

Things don’t look so good for President Obama’s chances in November 2012. According to Intrade.com, a site that makes prediction markets for hundreds of real-world events, investors believe that Obama currently has a 47% chance of being re-elected in 2012. … Continue reading →

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Posted in Finance and Economics, Investing, Leadership, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , | 15 Comments

Press Recession Mentions Presage Recessions

Posted on Saturday, September 24, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

The Economist‘s Daily Chart blog publishes a lot of creative and fascinating charts each week. A little over a week ago, the blog published the chart above, which tracks the number of articles in the Financial Times and the Wall … Continue reading →

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Posted in Business, Finance and Economics, Policy, Politics, Predictions | Tagged , , , | 3 Comments

Game Theory for Middle Eastern Dictators

Posted on Monday, August 15, 2011 by Sean Patrick Hazlett

Towards a Dominant Strategy In “Saudis Shrug Off Day of Rage: Three Strategies to Suppress a Revolt Before It Starts“, I argued that there are two archetypal models for a dictator to deal with popular revolts in the Middle East: crush them or … Continue reading →

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Posted in Defense, Energy Security, International Security, Mathematics, Middle East, Policy, Politics, Predictions, War | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 9 Comments